Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 15.471070 17.972381 20.690305 23.855388 27.431966 31.340175 35.925627
2025-08-10 10.901945 14.234315 18.221473 23.306738 29.579395 37.020104 46.466625
2025-08-17 8.203630 11.776564 16.393687 22.715137 31.050069 41.559208 55.689963
2025-08-24 6.384556 9.954190 14.882627 22.045623 32.024724 45.245554 63.856769
2025-08-31 4.984220 8.389368 13.384583 21.045701 32.251838 47.753253 70.453337
2025-09-07 4.295255 7.722686 13.017174 21.511990 34.448602 52.985630 81.009895
2025-09-14 3.732695 7.140663 12.664482 21.902162 36.493770 58.073703 91.635176
2025-09-21 3.132706 6.381424 11.907361 21.535507 37.297516 61.332828 99.742839
2025-09-28 2.609594 5.658038 11.095209 20.953532 37.655738 63.876235 106.865397
2025-10-05 2.485482 5.652848 11.509390 22.450530 41.466457 71.966420 122.918844
2025-10-12 2.325862 5.548668 11.724468 23.606065 44.776316 79.443366 138.411471
2025-10-19 2.100302 5.269627 11.574383 24.079288 46.936956 85.168405 151.401415
2025-10-26 1.826495 4.864034 11.177244 24.149001 48.566428 90.404654 164.405603
2025-11-02 1.531836 4.357100 10.517411 23.667604 49.210936 94.114178 175.292462
2025-11-09 1.276863 3.884140 9.850604 23.080623 49.587168 97.364964 185.593000
2025-11-16 1.058457 3.447516 9.186997 22.403911 49.703167 100.126370 195.174639
2025-11-23 0.856177 2.998857 8.416203 21.390234 49.039160 101.394170 202.158994
2025-11-30 0.770058 2.854476 8.336263 21.863189 51.379706 108.323395 219.633644
2025-12-07 0.690501 2.709170 8.229747 22.258882 53.585016 115.122409 237.226154
2025-12-14 0.586914 2.459427 7.815111 21.887052 54.134559 118.775598 249.191445
2025-12-21 0.490538 2.203377 7.336774 21.296835 54.147385 121.362211 259.269606
2025-12-28 0.481601 2.251950 7.701775 22.814974 58.915021 133.633871 288.384418
2026-01-04 0.460089 2.249059 7.920442 23.986699 62.990432 144.728676 315.736827